Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 96.438066 109.636150 124.648974 143.133302 165.477314 191.870520 225.792104
2025-04-27 81.615837 99.548790 122.037959 152.918313 195.216695 252.702065 339.688016
2025-05-04 69.563879 88.603272 113.991224 151.444795 207.376998 291.610992 436.524718
2025-05-11 62.180962 81.926479 109.570957 152.823884 222.344516 337.063380 559.864732
2025-05-18 55.633007 75.217471 103.688827 150.361575 230.026542 372.107952 679.787224
2025-05-25 51.267484 70.958404 100.590068 151.333452 243.105608 419.971113 849.408414
2025-06-01 47.467226 67.022171 97.335532 151.272192 254.027058 466.863447 1045.014400
2025-06-08 43.884454 62.997228 93.369700 149.200434 260.485386 506.394578 1249.037244
2025-06-15 42.286092 61.898953 93.999723 155.378392 284.767784 595.366433 1678.302703
2025-06-22 38.829048 57.457179 88.453175 149.058079 281.022485 613.831763 1884.020502
2025-06-29 36.641051 54.917003 85.928276 148.211850 289.302760 667.814553 2294.669503
2025-07-06 34.765280 52.737204 83.804026 147.827144 298.573729 728.905746 2827.532603
2025-07-13 33.671857 51.947587 84.377575 153.719423 326.482585 868.320743 4116.767533
2025-07-20 33.172704 52.169200 86.906449 164.453800 371.253456 1101.621350 6964.528349
2025-07-27 31.315659 49.789112 84.156527 162.828283 381.312518 1212.224570 9388.461240
2025-08-03 29.977987 48.235848 82.853007 164.347977 401.369491 1385.080063 14028.336060
2025-08-10 28.354613 46.022945 79.991123 161.634825 407.505773 1500.026548 19230.059908
2025-08-17 27.230625 44.659914 78.731011 162.705534 426.687171 1706.435818 30801.252969
2025-08-24 26.102223 43.202365 77.126068 162.638038 442.178081 1913.864181 50445.899288
2025-08-31 24.883969 41.486519 74.812916 160.355906 449.108132 2079.434329 79831.005960
2025-09-07 24.470772 41.308432 75.797970 167.164254 493.642041 2592.681971 244385.245345
2025-09-14 23.061219 39.067114 72.043180 160.199134 480.512189 2623.104478 351094.637057
2025-09-21 22.187025 37.845816 70.472768 159.267305 492.772656 2911.106049 959127.030556